The War Was Planned and Guided by Western Governments

Western Mass Media Outlets Are Losing Credibility

Ukraine Will Lose the War

What Comes Next

U.S. foreign policy makers will not learn to avoid another debacle like Ukraine. On the contrary, their ability to walk away from the ruins of Ukraine without any political repercussions will reinforce their belief that they have a repeatable formula for sustaining a bloated military, selling weapons, and starting wars of convenience. This pattern of U.S. foreign policy failures stretches from Vietnam to the present day, with a corresponding trail of death and destruction.

I expect another iteration of this cyclic pattern in a proxy or direct U.S. war against China in the Pacific. Substitute the Taiwan independence red line for the Ukraine in NATO red line, and you have a new casus belli scenario to sell to the public: an evil authoritarian regime in China invading the plucky small democratic nation of Taiwan. Whenever increasing the U.S. defense budget is in doubt, a confrontation in the South China Sea or sending more troops to Taiwan can be arranged to bring China closer to the brink of war. The pernicious cycle of military overreach will likely continue until the U.S. is either exhausted financially or decisively defeated militarily. Meanwhile, thanks to Internet media, the whole world will watch the march of folly.