I found this thought funny. A few years ago everyone was all learn to code so you don’t lose your job! Now there wont be any programming jobs in 10 years. But we will need a lot of manual labor still.
I found this thought funny. A few years ago everyone was all learn to code so you don’t lose your job! Now there wont be any programming jobs in 10 years. But we will need a lot of manual labor still.
I never said that.
The key point is that we are still limited by what LLMs can and can’t do and fundamentally this is no new technology, just refined technology.
Think of it like cars. Cars exist since more than a hundred years. A modern car looks much fancier than a car a hundred years ago. But when it comes to the core aspect -moving passengers and cargo around on the ground- modern cars can’t do more than cars from a hundred years ago. They are restricted by the same restriction (usually requiring some sort of road, requiring refueling points…)
We are pushing the boundaries of what LLMs can do, but there seems no indication, that it actually is a suitable tool for automated programming. LLMs are most likely just cars, where you need something that can fly.
No, but the person I had replied to, hence the context for my post, did:
I’m not saying LLMs can, or will be able to, do these things. LLMs are likely a dead-end on the road to AGI. Dead-ends are part of progress. The crossbow eventually hits a dead-end in terms of propelling projectiles with ease faster and harder, but that isn’t the end of projectiles. We got cannons, then hand cannons, and then guns.
I’m saying if LLMs are cars, AI is “vehicles.” LLM is a subset of the broader category. We have helicopters and planes. They came later than horse carts and cars, but they’re still vehicles. And used some of what we learned building carts and cars, but also with new ideas and concepts.
And for all we know, someday someone will figure out how to harness the power of gravity like we did with electromagnetism, and we’ll have flying cars. We can’t know, but just because we don’t have the technology now doesn’t mean we never will.